{"id":30890,"date":"2026-05-23T14:43:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-23T14:43:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.othellointernational.com\/esg-advisory\/climate-scenario-risk\/"},"modified":"2026-06-23T12:16:51","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T12:16:51","slug":"climate-scenario-risk","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.othellointernational.com\/th\/esg-advisory\/climate-scenario-risk\/","title":{"rendered":"Climate Risk &#038; Scenario Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<style>\r\n@import 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.contact{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(4,1fr);gap:1px;background:var(--blkl);border:1px solid var(--blkl);max-width:1000px;margin:0 auto;text-align:left}\r\n.oth-sub .cc-cell{background:var(--blk);padding:22px 20px;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:6px;transition:background .25s}\r\n.oth-sub .cc-cell:hover{background:var(--blkc)}\r\n.oth-sub .cc-cell .l{font-family:var(--fm);font-size:9.5px;letter-spacing:.16em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--red);font-weight:700}\r\n.oth-sub .cc-cell .v{font-size:13.5px;color:var(--wh);font-weight:500;line-height:1.4}\r\n.oth-sub .cc-cell .v a{color:var(--wh);text-decoration:none;border-bottom:1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.15);transition:border-color .2s}\r\n.oth-sub .cc-cell .v a:hover{border-bottom-color:var(--red)}\r\n.oth-sub .cc-cell .s{font-family:var(--fm);font-size:10px;color:var(--whm);line-height:1.4}\r\n.oth-sub .footline{padding:24px 0;text-align:center;font-family:var(--fm);font-size:10.5px;font-weight:500;letter-spacing:.16em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--whm);background:var(--blk);border-top:1px solid var(--blkl)}\r\n.oth-sub .footline .r{color:var(--red)}\r\n@media (max-width:900px){\r\n.oth-sub .facts{grid-template-columns:repeat(2,1fr)}\r\n.oth-sub .contact{grid-template-columns:repeat(2,1fr)}\r\n}\r\n@media (max-width:600px){\r\n.oth-sub .wrap{padding:0 22px}\r\n.oth-sub .hero,.oth-sub .body,.oth-sub .cta{padding:56px 0}\r\n.oth-sub .facts,.oth-sub .contact{grid-template-columns:1fr}\r\n.oth-sub h1{font-size:clamp(28px,8vw,38px)}\r\n}\r\n<\/style>\r\n<div class=\"oth-sub\">\r\n<div class=\"bcrumb\"><div class=\"wrap\"><a href=\"\/th\/\">\u0e2b\u0e19\u0e49\u0e32\u0e2b\u0e25\u0e31\u0e01<\/a><span class=\"sep\">\/<\/span><a href=\"\/th\/esg-advisory\/\">\u0e17\u0e35\u0e48\u0e1b\u0e23\u0e36\u0e01\u0e29\u0e32\u0e14\u0e49\u0e32\u0e19 ESG<\/a><span class=\"sep\">\/<\/span><b>Climate Scenario Risk<\/b><\/div><\/div>\r\n<section class=\"hero\"><div class=\"wrap\"><div class=\"eyebrow\">ESG Advisory \u00b7 Climate Scenario<\/div><h1><em>Climate scenario<\/em> risk analysis under IFRS S2.<\/h1><p class=\"lead\">IFRS S2 requires disclosure of <strong>climate-related scenario analysis<\/strong> with at least one scenario aligned to the Paris Agreement&#8217;s 1.5-2\u00b0C pathway. The analysis must cover both physical risk (asset exposure to climate hazards) and transition risk (policy, market, technology, and reputation impacts on revenue). Othello prepares the bilingual scenario analysis disclosure.<\/p><div class=\"cta-row\"><a href=\"\/th\/contact\/\" class=\"btn btn-p\">\u0e02\u0e2d\u0e43\u0e1a\u0e40\u0e2a\u0e19\u0e2d\u0e23\u0e32\u0e04\u0e32<\/a><a href=\"#contact\" class=\"btn btn-o\">Engagement Brief<\/a><\/div><div class=\"facts\"><div class=\"oth-fact\"><div class=\"oth-fact-val\">1.5-2\u00b0C<\/div><div class=\"oth-fact-lbl\">Required alignment scenario<\/div><\/div><div class=\"oth-fact\"><div class=\"oth-fact-val\">2<\/div><div class=\"oth-fact-lbl\">Risk dimensions<\/div><\/div><div class=\"oth-fact\"><div class=\"oth-fact-val\">\u0e01\u0e32\u0e23\u0e40\u0e1b\u0e34\u0e14\u0e40\u0e1c\u0e22\u0e02\u0e49\u0e2d\u0e21\u0e39\u0e25\u0e14\u0e49\u0e32\u0e19\u0e2a\u0e20\u0e32\u0e1e\u0e20\u0e39\u0e21\u0e34\u0e2d\u0e32\u0e01\u0e32\u0e28\u0e15\u0e32\u0e21<\/div><div class=\"oth-fact-lbl\">Mandating standard<\/div><\/div><div class=\"oth-fact\"><div class=\"oth-fact-val\">NGFS<\/div><div class=\"oth-fact-lbl\">Reference scenario family<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section>\r\n<section class=\"body\"><div class=\"wrap\"><div class=\"oth-block\"><div class=\"oth-block-tag\">Scope<\/div><h2 class=\"oth-block-h2\">Physical and transition risk<\/h2><div class=\"oth-block-body\"><p>Climate scenario analysis covers <strong>two risk categories<\/strong>: <em>Physical risk<\/em> \u2014 direct climate impacts on assets, operations, and supply chains (acute: storms, floods, wildfires; chronic: heat stress, sea level rise, water scarcity). <em>Transition risk<\/em> \u2014 policy changes (carbon pricing, mandates), market shifts (consumer behavior, capital reallocation), technology disruption, and reputation impacts.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"oth-block\"><div class=\"oth-block-tag\">Methodology<\/div><h2 class=\"oth-block-h2\">Reference scenarios<\/h2><div class=\"oth-block-body\"><p>\u0e01\u0e23\u0e30\u0e1a\u0e27\u0e19\u0e01\u0e32\u0e23\u0e23\u0e31\u0e1a\u0e23\u0e2d\u0e07\u0e19\u0e34\u0e15\u0e34\u0e01\u0e23\u0e13\u0e4c\u0e40\u0e2d\u0e01\u0e2a\u0e32\u0e23\u0e02\u0e2d\u0e07 <strong>Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS)<\/strong> reference scenarios are the institutional standard for climate scenario analysis. NGFS provides scenarios ranging from orderly transition (1.5\u00b0C with policies starting now) through disorderly transition (delayed policies) through hot house (3\u00b0C+ with no further policy action).<\/p><p>For Thai listed companies, the typical disclosure covers the orderly 1.5-2\u00b0C pathway plus at least one higher-warming scenario for physical risk exposure.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"oth-block\"><div class=\"oth-block-tag\">Output<\/div><h2 class=\"oth-block-h2\">Scenario disclosure deliverables<\/h2><div class=\"oth-block-body\"><ul><li><strong>Bilingual scenario narrative<\/strong> \u2014 for inclusion in IFRS S2 disclosure and sustainability report<\/li><li><strong>Physical risk exposure summary<\/strong> \u2014 asset-level or business-unit-level exposure under high-warming scenarios<\/li><li><strong>Transition risk revenue impact<\/strong> \u2014 quantified or qualitative impact on revenue lines under low-warming scenarios<\/li><li><strong>Strategic resilience statement<\/strong> \u2014 board-approved positioning on climate scenarios<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section>\r\n<section class=\"cta\" id=\"contact\"><div class=\"wrap\"><div class=\"cta-eye\"><span class=\"dot\"><\/span> Bench active \u00b7 Bangkok \u00b7 GMT+7<\/div><h2>Send the document. <em>NDA from the first email.<\/em><\/h2><p>Quote response within one business hour. Mutual NDA standard, ISO 17100 workflow, 2M+ words\/month capacity.<\/p><div class=\"contact\"><div class=\"cc-cell\"><div class=\"l\">Telephone<\/div><div class=\"v\"><a href=\"tel:+6628592145\">+66 02-859-2145<\/a><\/div><div class=\"s\">Mon-Fri \u00b7 09:00-18:00 ICT<\/div><\/div><div class=\"cc-cell\"><div class=\"l\">\u0e2d\u0e35\u0e40\u0e21\u0e25<\/div><div class=\"v\"><a href=\"mailto:info@othelloshop.com\">info@othelloshop.com<\/a><\/div><div class=\"s\">NDA \u0e15\u0e31\u0e49\u0e07\u0e41\u0e15\u0e48\u0e2d\u0e35\u0e40\u0e21\u0e25\u0e09\u0e1a\u0e31\u0e1a\u0e41\u0e23\u0e01<\/div><\/div><div class=\"cc-cell\"><div class=\"l\">\u0e2a\u0e33\u0e19\u0e31\u0e01\u0e07\u0e32\u0e19<\/div><div class=\"v\">\u0e22\u0e39\u0e19\u0e34\u0e15 12-03 \u0e2d\u0e32\u0e04\u0e32\u0e23 Chartered Square<\/div><div class=\"s\">152 N Sathon Rd \u00b7 Bang Rak<\/div><\/div><div class=\"cc-cell\"><div class=\"l\">City<\/div><div class=\"v\">\u0e01\u0e23\u0e38\u0e07\u0e40\u0e17\u0e1e\u0e2f 10500<\/div><div class=\"s\">Thailand \u00b7 GMT+7<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section>\r\n<div class=\"footline\">\u0e01\u0e32\u0e23\u0e41\u0e1b\u0e25\u0e40\u0e2d\u0e01\u0e2a\u0e32\u0e23\u0e40\u0e17\u0e04\u0e19\u0e34\u0e04 <span class=\"r\">\u00b7<\/span> \u0e17\u0e35\u0e48\u0e1b\u0e23\u0e36\u0e01\u0e29\u0e32\u0e14\u0e49\u0e32\u0e19 ESG <span class=\"r\">\u2014<\/span> Othello International \u00b7 Bangkok<\/div>\r\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Home\/ESG Advisory\/Climate Scenario Risk ESG Advisory \u00b7 Climate Scenario Climate scenario risk analysis under IFRS S2. IFRS S2 requires disclosure of climate-related scenario analysis with at least one scenario aligned to the Paris Agreement&#8217;s 1.5-2\u00b0C pathway. The analysis must cover both physical risk (asset exposure to climate hazards) and transition risk (policy, market, technology, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":30280,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"Climate Risk & Scenario Analysis Thailand | Othello","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Climate risk and scenario analysis for SET-listed Thai companies \u2014 physical and transition risk, TCFD and IFRS S2-ready, in clear Thai and English.","_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"climate risk and scenario analysis","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","rank_math_title":"Climate Risk & Scenario Analysis Thailand | Othello","rank_math_description":"Climate risk and scenario analysis for SET-listed Thai companies \u2014 physical and transition risk, TCFD and IFRS S2-ready, in clear Thai and English.","rank_math_focus_keyword":"climate risk and scenario analysis","rank_math_canonical_url":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-title":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-description":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-title":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-description":"","footnotes":"","rank_math_robots":["index"]},"class_list":["post-30890","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.othellointernational.com\/th\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/30890","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.othellointernational.com\/th\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.othellointernational.com\/th\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.othellointernational.com\/th\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.othellointernational.com\/th\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30890"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.othellointernational.com\/th\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/30890\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30980,"href":"https:\/\/www.othellointernational.com\/th\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/30890\/revisions\/30980"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.othellointernational.com\/th\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/30280"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.othellointernational.com\/th\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30890"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}